منابع مشابه
Managing Regime-change
Two aspects of regime-change management are transitory planning, which avoids assembly feed-stock shortages in the new processing regime, and the timing of the change, which enhances the meshing of adjacent plans. In this paper, the stock implications of regime changes which incorporate transitory planning, are optimised with respect to the timing of the change. To highlight the stock effect, p...
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Istudy how a revolutionary vanguard might use violence to mobilize a mass public. The mechanism is informational—–the vanguard uses violence to manipulate population member’s beliefs about the level of antigovernment sentiment in society. The model has multiple equilibria, one equilibrium in which there may be revolution and another in which there is certain not to be. In the former, structural...
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The article addresses the relationship between lifestyle change and change in the political regime which emphasizes the policies of the American government towards the Islamic Republic of Iran. Accordingly, this research aims to answer the main question is that “what is the relationship between lifestyle change and the regime change and how does the US seek to change the political system in Ir...
متن کاملSocial Learning in Regime Change Games
This paper studies social learning effects in dynamic regime change games with a finite number of short-lived players in each period. These kinds of games are usually applied to currency attacks by hedge funds, investments in emerging firms by venture capitalists, and revolutions against dictators by armies. In my model, the state of the status quo is fixed but unobservable to players. Since ea...
متن کاملPredicting Climate Regime Change in Chaotic Convection
A toy climate analogous to the famous Lorenz system [1] is derived and compared to computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations in order to test new modeling techniques. In particular, methods of data assimilation and ensemble forecasting are used to predict regime changes and residencies in this toy climate. A climate “truth” is created using a finite-element simulation of a thermal convecti...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Nature
سال: 2003
ISSN: 0028-0836,1476-4687
DOI: 10.1038/422571a